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Red112
640119.0
300345.5
630026.7
Blue34
514918.8
318125.1
260129.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94722040608012014016011234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+62Teleop
+64Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +59
17Coral scored#4
61Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
73Total teleop14
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
14Foul points0
112Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#16
45.51.3
39.841.1
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End8.3
red by 16.1
2601
#43
29.42.1
26.524.4
Auto6.7
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Second
6300
#17
26.71.3
24.425.7
Auto6.0
Teleop16.8
End4.0
red by 1.6
3181
#25
25.12.1
18.216.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End1.4
Third
6401
#45
19.01.3
14.816.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.8
red by 0.2
5149
#53
18.83.5
20.717.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed