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Red106
962435.2
771821.0
35834.9
Blue72
806716.0
286943.0
457124.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768505010015020010672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+30Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
82Total teleop55
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points2
106Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9624
#37
35.22.3
28.931.2
Auto9.1
Teleop23.3
End2.8
blue by 7.8
2869
#13
43.00.2
39.138.9
Auto7.8
Teleop28.8
End6.4
Second
358
#32
34.92.3
26.729.0
Auto6.9
Teleop25.0
End3.1
red by 10.4
4571
#54
24.50.3
23.122.7
Auto3.0
Teleop21.3
End0.3
Third
7718
#39
21.02.3
10.312.6
Auto3.9
Teleop15.2
End1.8
red by 5.0
8067
#47
16.00.2
11.010.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed