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Red172
1035225.4
2065.3
662164.2
Blue129
146859.6
588128.4
317125.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710850150200250172129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+23Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +27
26Coral scored#18
92Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
120Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#9
12L3#4
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
172Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
65.34.7
49.053.6
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
red by 5.6
1468
#19
59.61.8
56.858.6
Auto15.7
Teleop40.2
End3.7
Second
64.24.7
37.642.3
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
red by 35.8
5881
#35
28.42.1
21.423.4
Auto6.6
Teleop19.5
End2.3
Third
25.47.0
22.129.2
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End3.5
blue by 0.2
3171
#49
25.62.1
23.125.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed