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Red112
188036.1
691138.0
205341.1
Blue123
703021.5
317362.3
311734.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9512750150200112123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
12Processor points18
28Net points20
40Algae points38
82Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
8Foul points2
112Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#27
41.10.8
36.237.0
Auto13.4
Teleop27.3
End0.5
blue by 21.2
3173
#15
62.30.6
58.759.3
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
Second
6911
#34
38.00.7
28.228.8
Auto4.0
Teleop31.4
End2.6
red by 3.9
3117
#41
34.10.6
30.431.0
Auto2.6
Teleop28.1
End3.3
Third
1880
#30
36.10.8
26.827.6
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End3.3
red by 14.6
7030
#28
21.50.9
20.421.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned