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Red116
445847.9
680624.9
395050.1
Blue110
336039.0
42445.0
151833.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110110105115120116110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+22Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave9
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points4
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points63
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
72Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
116Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#14
50.11.1
40.641.7
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End2.9
red by 5.1
424
#31
45.00.9
39.940.8
Auto7.1
Teleop30.4
End7.5
Second
47.91.1
37.838.9
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
red by 8.9
3360
#20
39.00.8
26.627.4
Auto6.1
Teleop26.5
End6.5
Third
6806
#36
24.91.1
21.322.3
Auto4.0
Teleop18.8
End2.0
blue by 9.0
1518
#22
33.90.9
31.432.3
Auto3.5
Teleop28.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned