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Red44
775914.9
33422.5
703115.1
Blue50
151833.9
703021.5
279137.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74942040601201401604450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+4
Endgame+8
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
9Total auto13
Teleoperatedlevel
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
27Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points0
44Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
334
#56
22.53.2
20.717.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End2.0
blue by 14.5
37.02.8
28.125.3
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
Second
7031
#48
15.13.2
28.225.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.7
blue by 18.8
1518
#22
33.92.3
32.330.0
Auto3.5
Teleop28.2
End2.1
Third
7759
#52
14.91.9
18.616.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.8
blue by 6.6
7030
#28
21.53.8
21.417.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed