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Red135
680624.9
149349.4
19156.9
Blue119
205341.1
63940.7
946824.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12511280100120140160180135119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points43
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
24Processor points18
20Net points28
44Algae points46
106Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#2
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points8
135Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#10
56.91.3
50.351.6
Auto17.4
Teleop35.2
End4.4
red by 15.8
2053
#27
41.10.3
37.037.3
Auto13.4
Teleop27.3
End0.5
Second
1493
#21
49.41.3
38.239.4
Auto12.9
Teleop35.5
End1.0
red by 8.7
639
#38
40.70.4
42.042.3
Auto5.9
Teleop28.9
End5.9
Third
6806
#36
24.91.3
22.323.6
Auto4.0
Teleop18.8
End2.0
red by 0.4
9468
#33
24.50.3
20.921.3
Auto3.8
Teleop18.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed