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Red134
57825.3
750432.8
662164.2
Blue88
1035225.4
25016.3
317362.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9012205015020025013488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+48Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +37
18Coral scored#10
64Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
6Processor points12
20Net points4
26Algae points16
90Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#4
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
134Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.23.4
42.345.6
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
red by 1.9
3173
#15
62.31.2
59.358.1
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
Second
7504
#24
32.83.4
25.128.5
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
red by 7.4
25.42.0
29.227.2
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End3.5
Third
578
#55
25.33.8
15.919.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End1.6
red by 8.9
250
#46
16.31.2
17.316.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned