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Red145
664822.2
445847.9
2065.3
Blue53
691138.0
355033.6
311734.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271055015020025014553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+80Teleop
+90Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +59
19Coral scored#7
69Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
93Total teleop34
Reef
10L4#3
5L3#2
7L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
6Foul points4
145Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
65.31.7
53.655.3
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
red by 27.3
6911
#34
38.03.2
28.825.7
Auto4.0
Teleop31.4
End2.6
Second
47.91.7
38.940.6
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
red by 13.8
3117
#41
34.13.2
31.027.8
Auto2.6
Teleop28.1
End3.3
Third
6648
#44
22.22.8
15.718.5
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End2.7
blue by 11.4
3550
#23
33.63.2
31.127.9
Auto8.5
Teleop20.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed