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Red92
514918.8
703021.5
552844.6
Blue142
304465.0
146859.6
806716.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7215005010020025092142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+62
Endgame+52
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points38
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +41
10Coral scored#19
37Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
51Total teleop92
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#9
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
2Foul points0
92Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5528
#29
44.61.2
37.138.3
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8
blue by 20.4
65.01.0
57.258.2
Auto15.9
Teleop43.3
End5.8
Second
7030
#28
21.52.0
17.519.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
blue by 38.2
1468
#19
59.61.0
59.660.6
Auto15.7
Teleop40.2
End3.7
Third
5149
#53
18.82.0
17.219.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
red by 2.9
8067
#47
16.01.0
10.811.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed