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Red88
355033.6
630026.7
279137.0
Blue85
1071429.1
286943.0
317125.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941110501502002508885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
22Total auto19
Teleoperatedlevel
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points44
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
52Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
88Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.5
25.325.7
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
blue by 6.0
2869
#13
43.00.3
38.938.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.8
End6.4
Second
3550
#23
33.60.4
27.928.3
Auto8.5
Teleop20.6
End4.4
red by 4.5
29.10.6
26.125.6
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End3.3
Third
6300
#17
26.70.4
25.726.1
Auto6.0
Teleop16.8
End4.0
red by 1.2
3171
#49
25.60.3
25.224.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned