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Red118
445847.9
205341.1
775914.9
Blue62
1035225.4
260129.4
664822.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1097205010015011862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
46Total teleop37
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
24Foul points0
118Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.2
40.640.3
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
red by 18.4
2601
#43
29.40.7
24.423.6
Auto6.7
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Second
2053
#27
41.10.2
37.337.1
Auto13.4
Teleop27.3
End0.5
red by 15.7
25.41.2
27.226.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End3.5
Third
7759
#52
14.90.2
16.716.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.8
blue by 7.2
6648
#44
22.21.2
18.517.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed