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Red92
946824.5
57825.3
287550.8
Blue168
151833.9
2065.3
691138.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921215015020092168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+62
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +69
12Coral scored#21
43Coral points74
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#8
12Processor points30
12Net points32
24Algae points62
67Total teleop136
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points0
92Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.2
47.447.6
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
blue by 14.5
20
#6
65.33.8
55.359.1
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
Second
578
#55
25.30.2
19.719.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End1.6
blue by 12.7
6911
#34
38.03.8
25.729.5
Auto4.0
Teleop31.4
End2.6
Third
9468
#33
24.50.2
21.321.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.0
End2.7
blue by 9.4
1518
#22
33.93.8
30.033.8
Auto3.5
Teleop28.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned