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Red163
81038.8
317362.3
19156.9
Blue120
588128.4
962435.2
149349.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16710050150200250163120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+37Teleop
+45Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
3Leave6
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points9
44Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +8
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points59
5Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
30Processor points24
12Net points12
42Algae points36
103Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#5
9L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points2
163Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#15
62.31.3
58.159.5
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
red by 12.9
1493
#21
49.41.5
39.440.9
Auto12.9
Teleop35.5
End1.0
Second
191
#10
56.91.3
51.652.9
Auto17.4
Teleop35.2
End4.4
red by 21.7
9624
#37
35.21.5
31.232.7
Auto9.1
Teleop23.3
End2.8
Third
810
#26
38.81.3
33.134.5
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End1.5
red by 10.4
5881
#35
28.41.5
25.026.5
Auto6.6
Teleop19.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed