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Red178
279137.0
179682.2
336039.0
Blue141
662164.2
630026.7
664822.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1499850200178141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +39
24Coral scored#18
86Coral points63
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
124Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#8
9L3#6
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
178Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.22.6
72.374.9
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
red by 18.0
64.22.5
48.851.3
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
Second
3360
#20
39.02.6
29.231.8
Auto6.1
Teleop26.5
End6.5
red by 12.3
6300
#17
26.72.5
26.128.6
Auto6.0
Teleop16.8
End4.0
Third
37.02.6
25.728.4
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
red by 14.8
6648
#44
22.24.2
17.321.5
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned