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Red64
205341.1
806716.0
33422.5
Blue141
57825.3
159151.7
445847.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6812705010015020064141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+79
Endgame+79
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +62
11Coral scored#21
39Coral points77
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
0Processor points12
8Net points20
8Algae points32
47Total teleop109
Reef
4L4#12
4L3#4
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
2Foul points0
64Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#27
41.11.1
37.136.0
Auto13.4
Teleop27.3
End0.5
blue by 10.6
1591
#11
51.71.3
49.650.9
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End4.4
Second
334
#56
22.51.8
18.416.6
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End2.0
blue by 25.4
47.91.3
40.341.7
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
Third
8067
#47
16.01.1
11.710.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.7
End1.4
blue by 9.3
578
#55
25.31.3
19.921.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed