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Red131
63940.7
287550.8
151833.9
Blue66
25016.3
112629.6
19156.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371025015020013166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+53Teleop
+53Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +57
20Coral scored#7
72Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
92Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
12Foul points0
131Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.4
47.647.2
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
blue by 6.1
191
#10
56.92.2
52.950.7
Auto17.4
Teleop35.2
End4.4
Second
639
#38
40.70.4
43.743.3
Auto5.9
Teleop28.9
End5.9
red by 11.1
1126
#18
29.62.2
30.328.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.2
End4.6
Third
1518
#22
33.90.4
33.833.4
Auto3.5
Teleop28.2
End2.1
red by 17.5
250
#46
16.32.2
16.013.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed