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Red117
317362.3
2299.7
300345.5
Blue83
552844.6
317125.6
457124.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131925010015020011783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
80Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
2Foul points0
117Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#15
62.30.1
59.559.6
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
red by 17.7
5528
#29
44.60.3
38.338.0
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8
Second
3003
#16
45.50.1
42.442.5
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End8.3
red by 19.9
3171
#49
25.60.3
24.824.5
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Third
229
#51
9.70.1
11.711.8
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End1.1
blue by 14.8
4571
#54
24.50.6
24.924.4
Auto3.0
Teleop21.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed