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Red147
304465.0
395050.1
336039.0
Blue139
279137.0
205341.1
57825.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1588950100200250147139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+6Teleop
+14Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
18Coral scored#17
65Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
89Total teleop97
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#5
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points6
147Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.00.3
58.458.8
Auto15.9
Teleop43.3
End5.8
red by 23.9
2053
#27
41.12.8
36.038.8
Auto13.4
Teleop27.3
End0.5
Second
3950
#14
50.10.3
45.846.1
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End2.9
red by 13.1
37.02.8
28.431.2
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
Third
3360
#20
39.00.3
31.832.1
Auto6.1
Teleop26.5
End6.5
red by 13.7
578
#55
25.32.8
21.324.1
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed