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Red51
703115.1
457124.5
514918.8
Blue82
112629.6
1035225.4
445847.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6410602040801201401605182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+19
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +2
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
36Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points2
51Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4571
#54
24.51.5
24.422.8
Auto3.0
Teleop21.3
End0.3
blue by 23.4
47.90.9
41.740.8
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
Second
5149
#53
18.81.5
16.515.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
blue by 10.8
1126
#18
29.60.9
28.127.2
Auto5.7
Teleop19.2
End4.6
Third
7031
#48
15.11.5
21.920.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.7
blue by 10.3
25.41.4
23.321.8
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned