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Red201
87064.5
445847.9
149349.4
Blue182
279137.0
304465.0
962435.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15713280100120140180200220201182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +19
30Coral scored#22
109Coral points80
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
141Total teleop122
Reef
9L4#8
12L3#12
9L2#4
8L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
201Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#8
64.53.2
58.461.6
Auto15.5
Teleop38.9
End10.1
blue by 0.5
65.03.2
58.861.9
Auto15.9
Teleop43.3
End5.8
Second
1493
#21
49.43.2
42.045.2
Auto12.9
Teleop35.5
End1.0
red by 12.4
37.03.2
31.234.3
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
Third
47.93.2
40.844.0
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
red by 12.7
9624
#37
35.23.2
33.536.6
Auto9.1
Teleop23.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned