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Red162
355033.6
260129.4
2065.3
Blue140
33422.5
317362.3
646317.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610150150200162140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+32Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +39
23Coral scored#21
83Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
10Net algae#2
12Processor points12
40Net points8
52Algae points20
135Total teleop96
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#6
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
162Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
65.31.8
59.961.7
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
red by 3.0
3173
#15
62.32.3
59.661.9
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
Second
3550
#23
33.61.8
30.532.3
Auto8.5
Teleop20.6
End4.4
red by 11.1
334
#56
22.53.8
16.620.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End2.0
Third
2601
#43
29.41.8
24.726.5
Auto6.7
Teleop22.1
End0.7
red by 11.9
6463
#50
17.52.3
14.516.8
Auto2.5
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned