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Red116
412258.1
680624.9
188036.1
Blue153
287550.8
662164.2
771821.0
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119122110130140150116153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+41
Endgame+33
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +27
17Coral scored#21
61Coral points76
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
79Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#8
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points4
116Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.3
54.855.1
Auto13.4
Teleop34.0
End10.7
blue by 6.1
64.22.4
51.353.7
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
Second
1880
#30
36.10.3
33.233.5
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End3.3
blue by 14.7
50.82.4
47.249.6
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
Third
6806
#36
24.90.3
24.124.3
Auto4.0
Teleop18.8
End2.0
red by 3.9
7718
#39
21.02.4
14.817.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed