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Red85
311734.1
63940.7
640119.0
Blue131
588128.4
552844.6
630026.7
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041079010011012013085131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+12
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
70Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points34
85Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#38
40.70.4
43.342.8
Auto5.9
Teleop28.9
End5.9
blue by 3.9
5528
#29
44.60.2
38.038.2
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8
Second
3117
#41
34.10.4
31.230.7
Auto2.6
Teleop28.1
End3.3
red by 5.7
5881
#35
28.40.2
27.527.7
Auto6.6
Teleop19.5
End2.3
Third
6401
#45
19.00.4
17.216.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.8
blue by 7.8
6300
#17
26.70.2
28.628.8
Auto6.0
Teleop16.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned