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Red130
2065.3
703115.1
159151.7
Blue117
35834.9
630026.7
260129.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1509250200130117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
27Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +8
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
79Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points6
130Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
65.30.0
61.761.7
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
red by 30.3
358
#32
34.91.6
31.833.4
Auto6.9
Teleop25.0
End3.1
Second
1591
#11
51.70.0
47.847.8
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End4.4
red by 22.3
2601
#43
29.41.6
26.528.1
Auto6.7
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Third
7031
#48
15.10.0
20.320.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.7
blue by 11.7
6300
#17
26.71.6
28.830.4
Auto6.0
Teleop16.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned