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Red117
806716.0
336039.0
412258.1
Blue97
63940.7
775914.9
317362.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117132608010014016018020022011797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
68Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
117Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.6
56.156.6
Auto13.4
Teleop34.0
End10.7
blue by 4.2
3173
#15
62.31.7
61.760.0
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
Second
3360
#20
39.00.6
36.837.4
Auto6.1
Teleop26.5
End6.5
blue by 1.7
639
#38
40.71.7
42.440.7
Auto5.9
Teleop28.9
End5.9
Third
8067
#47
16.00.6
15.416.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.7
End1.4
red by 1.0
7759
#52
14.91.7
16.714.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned