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Red85
33422.5
188036.1
1035225.4
Blue111
286943.0
2299.7
87064.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781315010015020085111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+4
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
15Coral scored#12
53Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
67Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
85Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#30
36.10.6
33.534.1
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End3.3
blue by 28.4
870
#8
64.50.1
61.661.5
Auto15.5
Teleop38.9
End10.1
Second
25.41.0
21.822.8
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End3.5
blue by 17.6
2869
#13
43.00.1
38.738.6
Auto7.8
Teleop28.8
End6.4
Third
334
#56
22.51.0
20.421.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End2.0
red by 12.8
229
#51
9.70.1
10.210.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned