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Red142
25016.3
395050.1
287550.8
Blue93
355033.6
514918.8
588128.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133865010015020014293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points26
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +34
20Coral scored#11
73Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
91Total teleop57
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points6
142Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.6
49.651.1
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
red by 17.2
3550
#23
33.60.2
32.332.6
Auto8.5
Teleop20.6
End4.4
Second
3950
#14
50.11.6
46.147.7
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End2.9
red by 21.7
5881
#35
28.40.2
27.728.0
Auto6.6
Teleop19.5
End2.3
Third
250
#46
16.31.6
14.315.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
blue by 2.5
5149
#53
18.80.4
15.015.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed