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Red122
87064.5
457124.5
318125.1
Blue126
946824.5
355033.6
412258.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12913480100120140160180200122126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points40
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
78Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
122Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#8
64.50.9
61.562.4
Auto15.5
Teleop38.9
End10.1
red by 6.4
58.11.0
55.156.1
Auto13.4
Teleop34.0
End10.7
Second
3181
#25
25.10.9
24.225.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End1.4
blue by 8.5
3550
#23
33.61.0
32.633.6
Auto8.5
Teleop20.6
End4.4
Third
4571
#54
24.51.2
23.324.5
Auto3.0
Teleop21.3
End0.3
red by 0.1
9468
#33
24.51.0
23.524.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned