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Red125
771821.0
1035225.4
159151.7
Blue158
287550.8
279137.0
317362.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8816550100150200250125158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+33
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +29
17Coral scored#21
61Coral points74
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
79Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points4
125Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#11
51.71.8
47.849.6
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End4.4
blue by 10.6
3173
#15
62.30.1
61.961.7
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
Second
25.42.6
22.825.4
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End3.5
blue by 25.4
50.80.1
51.151.0
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
Third
7718
#39
21.01.8
19.221.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.2
End1.8
blue by 16.0
37.00.1
34.334.2
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned