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Red117
646317.5
691138.0
806716.0
Blue103
25016.3
588128.4
300345.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551000204080120140160117103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+42Teleop
+16Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +59
18Coral scored#10
64Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
12Processor points6
28Net points4
40Algae points10
104Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
4Foul points6
117Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#34
38.03.5
32.435.8
Auto4.0
Teleop31.4
End2.6
blue by 7.6
3003
#16
45.50.4
43.543.9
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Second
6463
#50
17.53.5
14.017.5
Auto2.5
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 10.9
5881
#35
28.40.4
28.028.4
Auto6.6
Teleop19.5
End2.3
Third
8067
#47
16.03.5
11.915.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.7
End1.4
blue by 0.4
250
#46
16.30.4
15.916.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned