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Red230
179682.2
552844.6
662164.2
Blue160
336039.0
300345.5
760541.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20212350100150250300230160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+44Teleop
+64Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
47Coral points24
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +27
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points68
5Processor algae#3
9Net algae#7
30Processor points18
36Net points28
66Algae points46
141Total teleop114
Reef
11L4#9
10L3#7
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +70
6Foul points0
230Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.20.9
78.579.5
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
red by 36.7
3003
#16
45.50.8
43.944.7
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Second
64.20.9
60.661.5
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
red by 22.6
7605
#12
41.70.8
40.040.8
Auto10.9
Teleop27.1
End3.7
Third
5528
#29
44.60.9
40.941.9
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8
red by 5.6
3360
#20
39.00.8
37.438.2
Auto6.1
Teleop26.5
End6.5