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Red166
336039.0
300345.5
760541.7
Blue183
445847.9
205341.1
317362.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13016350100150200250166183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +34
15Coral scored#27
54Coral points96
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
96Total teleop130
Reef
7L4#15
6L3#9
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
166Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#16
45.50.8
44.745.5
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End8.3
blue by 16.8
3173
#15
62.30.7
60.961.6
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
Second
7605
#12
41.70.8
40.841.7
Auto10.9
Teleop27.1
End3.7
blue by 6.2
47.90.7
46.547.2
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
Third
3360
#20
39.00.8
38.239.0
Auto6.1
Teleop26.5
End6.5
blue by 2.1
2053
#27
41.10.7
39.840.4
Auto13.4
Teleop27.3
End0.5