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Red116
412139.4
788521.5
499137.3
Blue72
326030.6
913913.5
408523.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887905010015011672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
0Processor points6
16Net points8
16Algae points14
55Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
24Foul points0
116Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.41.1
30.331.4
Auto8.8
Teleop22.9
End7.7
red by 8.8
3260
#47
30.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.0
Teleop18.0
End6.7
Second
4991
#12
37.31.1
28.329.4
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End1.2
red by 13.5
4085
#34
23.80.0
25.725.7
Auto2.5
Teleop19.4
End1.9
Third
7885
#39
21.51.7
18.520.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 7.9
9139
#54
13.50.0
21.721.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned