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Red109
12026.4
919421.5
12811.7
Blue143
130830.9
155931.2
824333.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7993204060100120140109143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+36
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#19
52Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
84Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
109Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#37
26.41.7
28.329.9
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End3.7
blue by 6.8
8243
#21
33.23.8
27.731.5
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End3.3
Second
9194
#46
21.51.8
20.922.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.8
blue by 9.7
1559
#19
31.23.4
25.028.5
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.8
Third
128
#52
11.72.8
16.719.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 19.2
1308
#17
30.93.4
22.926.3
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned