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Red88
962221.1
217234.2
696437.2
Blue86
67728.5
348420.5
814524.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8866501001508886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+8Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
69Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
88Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.0
27.528.5
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End8.2
red by 8.7
677
#30
28.52.0
27.529.5
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Second
2172
#23
34.21.2
27.728.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
red by 10.2
8145
#44
24.01.8
13.415.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End4.0
Third
9622
#28
21.11.2
17.118.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.3
End3.3
red by 0.6
3484
#56
20.51.8
17.919.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned