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Red136
317371.4
965313.2
239953.2
Blue79
771723.4
426936.7
395423.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143835010020013679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+45Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
25Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
95Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#4
10L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
136Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.40.3
62.662.9
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
red by 34.6
4269
#27
36.70.7
31.330.6
Auto4.2
Teleop31.1
End1.4
Second
2399
#11
53.20.3
38.338.6
Auto9.9
Teleop35.4
End7.9
red by 29.7
3954
#42
23.61.0
18.917.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
Third
9653
#29
13.20.5
20.120.6
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End3.3
blue by 10.2
7717
#50
23.41.0
26.025.0
Auto2.7
Teleop18.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed