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Red165
29126.0
414564.9
574050.3
Blue120
1020827.0
260344.6
155931.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1598550100150200165120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+51Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points26
34Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +43
25Coral scored#15
91Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
121Total teleop78
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#5
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
165Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.4
62.362.7
Auto18.1
Teleop41.2
End5.6
red by 20.2
2603
#16
44.61.4
34.635.9
Auto8.6
Teleop28.1
End7.9
Second
50.30.4
47.347.7
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End9.1
red by 19.1
1559
#19
31.21.4
28.529.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.8
Third
291
#49
26.00.7
24.124.8
Auto2.1
Teleop23.3
End0.6
blue by 1.0
27.01.4
16.417.8
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned