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Red68
348420.5
814021.2
871812.3
Blue92
12026.4
788521.5
326030.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4286020601001201401606892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
47Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
68Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8140
#43
21.21.5
14.315.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 9.4
3260
#47
30.61.2
24.625.7
Auto6.0
Teleop18.0
End6.7
Second
3484
#56
20.51.5
19.721.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 5.8
120
#37
26.41.2
29.931.1
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End3.7
Third
8718
#55
12.32.6
10.913.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 9.1
7885
#39
21.51.9
20.222.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned