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Red47
405018.8
377711.1
67728.5
Blue142
976717.2
499137.3
69573.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6512605010015047142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+85
Endgame+95
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points31
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +61
6Coral scored#19
20Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
30Total teleop91
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#7
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points0
47Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
677
#30
28.51.3
29.528.3
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
blue by 45.2
695
#15
73.82.2
63.365.5
Auto19.2
Teleop47.1
End7.5
Second
4050
#33
18.81.3
22.020.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End-0.3
blue by 18.5
4991
#12
37.32.2
29.431.6
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End1.2
Third
3777
#53
11.12.1
14.712.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.6
blue by 6.0
9767
#45
17.22.2
16.418.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned