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Red103
395423.6
541326.0
1058214.5
Blue138
814524.0
426936.7
716529.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57930204080100120140160103138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +42
14Coral scored#21
50Coral points76
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
12Processor points24
16Net points20
28Algae points44
78Total teleop120
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
103Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#40
26.01.8
21.022.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End6.2
blue by 10.7
4269
#27
36.72.6
30.633.2
Auto4.2
Teleop31.1
End1.4
Second
3954
#42
23.63.0
17.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
blue by 5.6
7165
#26
29.22.9
27.530.4
Auto4.4
Teleop23.8
End1.0
Third
14.51.8
12.514.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.7
blue by 9.6
8145
#44
24.02.6
15.217.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed