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Red98
461176.4
771723.4
460123.3
Blue39
964311.3
822220.6
954512.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122270501001502002509839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+63Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave3
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +36
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points10
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
56Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#1
6L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
98Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.40.2
61.161.3
Auto19.4
Teleop48.5
End8.5
red by 55.8
8222
#18
20.60.2
14.815.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End7.0
Second
7717
#50
23.40.2
18.718.9
Auto2.7
Teleop18.3
End2.3
red by 11.4
9545
#48
12.00.2
10.811.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.5
Third
4601
#20
23.30.1
16.516.6
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End2.8
red by 12.0
9643
#35
11.30.2
11.111.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned