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Red74
871328.3
395423.6
696437.2
Blue146
499137.3
178763.5
414564.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6916005010020074146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+94
Endgame+84
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +87
6Coral scored#20
22Coral points73
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#7
6Processor points18
4Net points28
10Algae points46
32Total teleop119
Reef
3L4#12
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
12Foul points0
74Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.2
28.527.3
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End8.2
blue by 27.6
64.90.1
61.461.3
Auto18.1
Teleop41.2
End5.6
Second
8713
#13
28.31.7
18.016.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End9.9
blue by 35.2
63.50.2
47.146.8
Auto13.7
Teleop38.6
End11.2
Third
3954
#42
23.61.7
21.419.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
blue by 13.7
4991
#12
37.30.2
28.628.4
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed