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Red112
976717.2
814524.0
317371.4
Blue141
574050.3
222862.2
716529.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93137050150200250300112141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points37
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
18Coral scored#17
65Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
79Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#9
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
112Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.40.8
62.363.1
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
red by 9.1
62.21.2
45.847.0
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.0
Second
8145
#44
24.01.0
11.212.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End4.0
blue by 26.3
50.31.2
43.144.3
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End9.1
Third
9767
#45
17.20.8
15.115.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
blue by 12.0
7165
#26
29.21.3
27.528.8
Auto4.4
Teleop23.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned