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Red51
618125.5
155931.2
217234.2
Blue31
377711.1
412139.4
1058214.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806101001502002505131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +15
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
29Total teleop14
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
51Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#23
34.21.9
24.322.4
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
blue by 5.2
39.42.7
29.026.3
Auto8.8
Teleop22.9
End7.7
Second
1559
#19
31.21.9
24.222.4
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.8
red by 16.8
14.52.7
14.011.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Third
6181
#10
25.52.3
23.421.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End7.0
red by 14.3
3777
#53
11.13.4
16.413.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed