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Red35
871812.3
12811.7
326030.6
Blue77
541326.0
408523.8
1020723.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6466204060801003577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+48
Endgame+48
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +42
3Coral scored#11
9Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
9Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
6Foul points0
35Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#47
30.63.0
23.520.5
Auto6.0
Teleop18.0
End6.7
red by 4.5
5413
#40
26.01.5
13.915.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End6.2
Second
8718
#55
12.33.7
15.711.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 11.5
4085
#34
23.81.3
24.225.5
Auto2.5
Teleop19.4
End1.9
Third
128
#52
11.73.7
20.817.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 12.1
23.81.5
19.621.0
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsEarned