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Red101
29126.0
326030.6
1020827.0
Blue112
696437.2
618125.5
12026.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010750150200101112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
6Processor points12
24Net points8
30Algae points20
79Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points0
101Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#47
30.61.6
26.227.8
Auto6.0
Teleop18.0
End6.7
blue by 6.7
37.21.3
31.332.5
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End8.2
Second
27.01.6
18.820.4
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.1
red by 0.6
120
#37
26.41.3
28.730.0
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End3.7
Third
291
#49
26.02.6
24.226.9
Auto2.1
Teleop23.3
End0.6
red by 0.5
6181
#10
25.52.1
27.829.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned