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Red83
788521.5
716529.2
319325.8
Blue92
919421.5
871328.3
822220.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86780501001502002508392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
67Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
83Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7165
#26
29.20.3
30.430.6
Auto4.4
Teleop23.8
End1.0
red by 0.9
8713
#13
28.31.5
26.928.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End9.9
Second
3193
#32
25.80.3
18.919.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.5
red by 4.3
9194
#46
21.50.9
20.020.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Third
7885
#39
21.50.4
22.122.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 0.9
8222
#18
20.60.9
20.621.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned