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Red122
574050.3
964311.3
130830.9
Blue99
788521.5
1030323.7
217234.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1057405015012299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points44
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
83Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
122Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.7
48.449.1
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End9.1
red by 16.1
2172
#23
34.20.9
26.227.1
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Second
1308
#17
30.90.7
27.127.8
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.4
red by 7.2
23.71.5
15.917.3
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Third
9643
#35
11.30.7
12.713.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 10.2
7885
#39
21.51.5
22.524.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed