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Red178
461176.4
395423.6
499137.3
Blue72
919421.5
1020723.8
962221.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1547005010020025017872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+96Teleop
+106Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +71
28Coral scored#12
99Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
127Total teleop56
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#4
9L2#3
8L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points0
178Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.42.5
68.871.3
Auto19.4
Teleop48.5
End8.5
red by 52.6
23.80.9
23.122.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Second
4991
#12
37.32.5
32.434.9
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End1.2
red by 15.8
9194
#46
21.50.9
20.920.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Third
3954
#42
23.64.2
20.024.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
red by 2.5
9622
#28
21.10.9
21.120.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed